you won't be risking real money, so you can practise until you are proficient, and confident enough to face the live markets! Prior to its change, participants of trades contemplate current situation. Initial Jobless Claims This 'Weekly Report' measures the number of people making first-time claims for unemployment benefit insurance. There are many consumer surveys, but these two are the best known and the most widely followed by economists and Forex/CFD traders. A final estimate follows two weeks later. Earthquakes, hurricanes and other natural disasters in a certain country can move national currency down (as a lot of money is needed for recovery which can lead to inflation. Average weighted forecast of economists and research centers about expected figures of national statistic are published on certain days specifying date of release and previous rates. Booming economies tend to experience inflation which, left untouched, results in a decrease in the competitiveness in terms of international trade.
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Extended periods of unemployment are extremely damaging to consumer sentiment, and consequently also affect consumer spending and impact on economic growth. This index is more affected by psychological factors than by real state of things. See a summary of all fundamental forex factors. Economists at the FED prefer to focus on the PCE price index that comes as part of the GDP report. Though it is just a forecast, many investors already start to sell US dollars, which leads to drop of the exchange rate. According to the modern theory, zero level of unemployment can't be reached (seasonal, structural and frictional unemployment always exists). In this case, the price will continue its acceleration at the moment of release; Market's expectations do not only fail, but are proven to be totally fallacious. The Federal Open Markets Committee (fomc) meets eight times a year as part of its regular schedule to determine US monetary policy.
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